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It’s okay to be upside down on your loan!

It’s okay to be upside down on your loan!

22 December 2020 Concept Car

Maybe you’ve only read articles warning against being upside down on your loan. Or maybe you are upside down on your loan and you’re now asking yourself what to do about that.

Here’s the good news:

There’s no reason to worry about being upside down on your loan! Although it’s certainly not ideal, there are plenty of strategies to deal with the issue or to avoid it altogether.

We’ll cover all of that and more in this expansive feature. As you’ll quickly see, far too many self-declared experts are making far too much out of this.

What does being upside down mean?

The moment you buy a car, the value of the car and the value of the loan are usually identical. Unless you make a down payment or have some debt you need roll over from a previous loan, you will borrow precisely the amount you need to purchase the vehicle.

So, for a £10,000 car, you’d need to borrow £10,000.

So far, so good. But what happens once you drive that car off the lot? It starts depreciating. Over the first year, your car will lose up to 30% of its value. So that, after twelve months, it will now only be worth £7,000. https://www.theaa.com/car-buying/depreciation

However, it’s more than unlikely that you’ll have paid back £3,000 of your loan. So you’re debt is now higher than the value of the car.

This scenario can still get worse in the second year. Although the depreciation curve is now flattening, it may still be higher than your interest rate. Which means that the divide between debt and worth keeps increasing.

This is what being upside down means: You now own a car which is worth less than the loan you took out for it.

Have you read:
Car Depreciation: Mileage vs Age vs Condition
Used car depreciation: Value killer number one!
Car Depreciation: The Guide To Absolutely Everything You Need to Know

Why is being upside down a problem?

Here’s the reason why so many experts warn against ending up in this situation:

Let’s say you went ahead and bought that £10,000 car, borrowed £10,000 and drove it for two years. Let’s also assume by now you paid off £3,000, so you have remaining debt of £7,000. If depreciation amounted to 45%, then your car is now worth £5,500.

Imagine this: You slam your car into a brickwall, Your insurance will cover the cost, but only to the current value of the vehicle. At the same time, you will still have to pay back your credit. Which puts you £1,500 into the red.

It also means that if, at any point during these first two years, you want to sell the car, you will not get enough for it to cover the cost of your debt.

It doesn’t take a lot to see why this can be a serious issue.

What causes being upside down?

It is easy to deduct from what we just said how you can get upside down on your loan.

For one, depreciation is very high for a new car over the course of the first two years. This isn’t rational in some respects. The car is still as good as new, after all. Still, it seems like this unwritten rule of the car industry won’t go away anytime soon.

Depreciation, however, isn’t the only factor contributing to being upside down.

Obviously the fact that you need to borrow a very high sum also plays a role. If you were to make a downpayment of £3,000, for example, you couldn’t get upside down, because you’re already below the impact of depreciation.

Finally, the speed of repayment is a vital part of the equation. If you were to make higher monthly instalments, you could try to outpace depreciation.

The slower you pay your loan back, the higher the chances of getting upside down on it.

Do you need to worry about being upside down?

This is actually a far more sensible question than some are trying to make you believe.

As we’ve shown earlier on, being upside down on a loan can be a problem …

  • … if you urgently need to sell the car, or
  • … if you have an accident and total the car.

Now, for one thing, the first situation is not actually that relevant for the majority of drivers in the UK. Most of us take out a car loan with the dealer, rather than the bank. And since most of these loans are based on a PCP or HP model, we don’t own our cars anyway. Until they’re paid off in full, they still belong to the dealer. So you can not just sell the car, even if you desperately need the money.

The second situation is more problematic. But it’s not nearly as common as you might think. Looking at the official statistics, the number of serious accidents (as part of which a car might get totalled) on UK roads is very low, In fact, it’s so low it’s almost 0!

Still, just for the sake of it, let’s think about this some more.

5 reasons why we don’t think being upside down is such a big deal.

  1. 1You will only be upside down on your loan for a very short time. After the first two to three years, you reach a pivotal point and the rate of repayment starts taking over the rate of depreciation. Soon enough, you’re back in the black again.
  2. The more carefully you drive, the lower your odds of getting into a serious accident. And this comes on top of an already very low probability. So the chances of getting into a situation where being upside down is actually an issue are slim.
  3. If you make at least a small down payment – and most dealers will make this a requirement anyway – this will mitigate or even eliminate the upside down dilemma. Every Penny you pay in advance reduces your debt and thus contributes to a more speedy repayment.
  4. If you repay the car in full, which is what happens in the large majority of cases, the brief interval of being upside down will hardly register. Just stick to the plan, keep making your repayments and at the end of the loan term, you will have completely forgotten that you were upside down at some point.
  5. If you’re buying used, the danger of being upside down is far less. This is because second hand cars are a lot cheaper and no longer depreciate that much. Some of them may no longer depreciate at all, in fact!

If you’re still worried about being upside down, there are some things you can do. Let’s take a closer look at them.

Gap Insurance closes the gap.

Of course, we’re not always rational in questions of finance. This is why quite a few drivers still take out gap insurance when buying a car.

As we’ve described, the problem of being upside down is that there is a difference in value between the car and your outstanding debt. If things get ugly, this can cause serious financial problems.

A gap insurance can be of use here. If you do end up crashing your car, it will cover that gap and thus insure you won’t have to pay back any money on a car you can no longer use.

We’re not big fans of gap insurance.

A typical premium for gap insurance would amount to £300 for three years. That’s money you could have just as well used to make a better down payment, which would also have reduced the risks of being upside down. Also, you urgently need to look at the fine print to make sure what the insurance covers and what not.

If you’re in need of peace of mind, however, there are worse things than gap insurance.

Have you read?
Car insurance: What do I really need?

Pay upfront

No, by this we don’t mean paying in cash, which will usually be impossible. But, as mentioned before, making a notable down payment really does help. And it’s not impossible, either: if you wait just a few months longer before signing the papers, you can save up to a decent amount. This will not only reduce the risk of getting upside down, but may also get you a better interest rate.

If you need to pay taxes and fees, we also recommend paying these upfront instead of making them part of the loan. Anything that reduces the loan is good. Anything that increases it means you’ll risk getting upside down earlier, for longer and with a bigger gap.

Work out the best loan conditions

We’ve written about this many times on this blog. But we can’t emphasise it often enough: There is a lot you can do to make a loan easier for you.

You can take more time to pay back a loan if you can only pay back a little each month. Or you can try to pay it off faster and aim at higher monthly instalments.

You can prioritise low interest rates or you can focus on making sure you can actually pay the loan back.

If you want to reduce the risk of getting upside down, it helps to reduce the loan term, increase your monthly payments and bring the interest rate down. The less you pay in interest, the more you can pay off the actual loan – which will contribute to remaining on the right side of the loan.

Pay the loan off in full.

If you keep your car for the full duration of the loan, then the only thing that can get you into trouble is getting into a serious accident.

This is the thing about being upside down: It’s really only a short phase and usually won’t even register. This is why so many experts are making far too much a big thing out of it.

Buy used and buy cheap.

In many articles on being upside down you will find the recommendation to buy a car that holds its value well.

The idea behind this suggestion is that if the car’s depreciation is rather low, you won’t get upside down quite as badly.

Obviously, this is a flawed logic. These cars are quite a lot more expensive, precisely because they’re in demand and hold their value well. As a result, your loan will be higher, too. But even if the strategy does work, you’ll have to pay back the loan for longer, which in itself increases the risk of a default.

It’s a bit like fighting fire with fire.

Instead, it’s a far better idea to always buy used and to opt for the cheapest model you can find. Sure, it will depreciate faster. But the loan will be lower, so the gap won’t be quite as big.

To us, this seems like a far smarter way to reduce the dangers of being upside down.

Improve your credit score

Finally, there’s one more thing you can do to reduce the risks of being upside down: Improving your credit rating.

Why would this matter? It’s simple, really: The better your credit score, the better your chances of a good deal – i.e. lower interest rates. And the lower the interest rate, the faster you can pay back the loan.

The great thing about this strategy is that it won’t just improve your loan in terms of being upside down. It also saves you money in the long run.

Which is a good way of looking at the upside down question in general: Instead of making a big deal out of it, use it as an opportunity to improve your finances overall.

If you approach things this way, we actually think you can come out of this with substantial gains.

Have you read?
How to improve your credit score

22 December 2020 Concept Car